Friday 17 December 2010

The unfair Iraqi elections

Yeah I know this is sort of overdue but I believe we must know! I did some simple mathematics and found some interesting statistics. Please note I did this while the results were still coming so it's 95% accurate.

This shows how unfairly the seats were divided:

Governorate-seats-registered voters-votes needed for 1 seat
Anbar   14   802,000   57,286
Babil   16   961,000   60,063
Baghdad   68   4,599,000   67,632
Basra   24   1,466,000   61,083
Dahuk   10   574,000   57,400
Dhi Qar   18   993,000   55,166
Diyala   13   840,000   64,615
Erbil   14   917,000   65,500
Karbala   10   564,000   56,400
Kirkuk   12   787,000   65,583
Maysan   10   561,000   56,100
Muthanna   7   379,000   54,143
Najaf   12   696,000   58,000
Ninewa   31   1,702,000   54,903
Qadisiyah   11   619,000   56,273
Salaheddin   12   696,000   58,000
Sulaymaniyah   17   1,098,000   64,588
Wassit   11   638,000   58,000
Total   310   18,892,000   60,942

Now what we see is that Baghdad, Basra, Diyala, Erbil, Kirkuk and as Sulaymaniyah are underrepresented.  Three multi-ethnic governorates, one Shi'a and one Kurdish one, or if you want to be precised, 2 Shi'a, 1 Sunni and 2 Kurdish governorates.
This however means 1 out of 9 (or 2 out of 10) Shi'a governorates are underrepresented, 1 out of 4 Sunni governorates are underrepresented and 3 out of 4 Kurdish governorates are undrrepresented.

On average 60,942 Iraqi votes = 1 seat
On average 63,698 Kurdish votes = 1 seat
On average 60,374 Arab votes = 1 seat

In reality this is even worse as the Kurdish turnout was much higher.
So far there have been 9,871,962 Iraqi votes including 2,323,523 Kurdish and 7,548,439 Arab votes
Currently Arabs are projected to get 255 seats and Kurds 55 seats
That means 29,601 Arab votes = 1 seat
And 42,246 Kurdish votes = 1 seat
It means 1 Arab's vote is worth 1.5x as much as a Kurd's vote. 2 Arab votes are worth 3 Kurdish votes.

It reminds me of Lebanon's undemocratic system were 1 Christian vote is worth 3 Muslim votes (with 600K registered Christian and 1.8 milion registered Muslim votes), a system which has been rigged to give a quart of the population half of the seats.

List-Seats-Number of seats they actually deserved (per nr. of votes they recieved)
Al-Iraqiyya National List   91   84
State of Law Coalition   89   84
National Iraqi Alliance   70   63
Kurdistan Alliance   43   50
Gorran Movement   8   14
Iraqi Accord Front   6   9
Unity Alliance of Iraq   4   9
Kurdistan Islamic Union   4   7
Islamic Group of Kurdistan   2   5
Minorities   8   0


I dislike goran becuase they have cost kurds a seat in kirkuk, kurds should have held 63% of kirkuks seats (8 seats) but due to arab cheating and goran/islamic parties playing around we lost valuable seats in kirkuk. It's obvious kurds are a majority in kirkuk based on the 2005 referendum which I'm positive the arab and turkmen said no to (as they are anti-kurdish)

This were the results in Kirkuk -
542,688 62.91% said yes and 37.09% said no.

Welcome to my blog!

The young kurds union, a union for all kurds, well anyone is welcome off course including kurdistanis (Kurds,Assyrians,Turkmen,Arabs). We the young kurds are the future generation of kurdistan and it's up to us to keep up and improve what has been began! I just want to start off by giving a bit of information about myself.

I'm a kurdish male 19 years old at the moment and on a mechanical engineer course, I have great interest in politics, specifically kurdish politics. I have been reading about kurdish politics from the early days to present, I see a trend in young kurds who seem to blame everyone but kurds for the failure of achieving a kurdish state, well as far as I know the kurds were ruled by local tribe men and shaikhs who were not necessarily very smart politically and made very stupid decisions, this is not to say that we should only blame our self but we played our part in self destruction too, anyways I believe that we should not focus too much on the past and focus more on the future.

We all know that money spins the world around. What makes money? well it's obvious some countries have resources and some offer services, for example a country like suadia Arabia which has a decent economy fuled purely by oil income, and on the other side there are countries with no oil like the UK for example, the UK however offer services by means of getting paid to give their knowledge, what I mean is the UK is a technologically advanced country. The UK offers many services such as telecommunication,banking,oil companies etc. Now let's get back to kurdistan, we all know that kurds sits on a lot of oil (an estimated 45 billion barrels of oil and 100-200 TCF of gas) but the problem is that we the kurds don't have the technology to use this oil so we have to pay companies to do it for us, although this is not that bad of an option for us as kurds (I will explain later on). We must find a balance in which we can handle a small amount of our oil and take small steps to taking over the load.

Sometimes however there are some exceptions for example kurdistan is in constant need of international backing simply becuase we are landlocked, and like I said money spins the world and so by offering business deals to countries like the UK and USA we are able to receive backing simply becuase these companies would not like to lose on their investments. This year two big american companies invested in kurdistans oil, I was very happy about that becuase it's another sign that shows this time kurdistan will not see another anfal. Having said that, the right approach for kurdistan is to offer greats deals in return for international backing and recognition, this will put us on the map!

...... to be continued.